Archive

One Retailer Is a Massive Beneficiary of the 'At-Home Revolution'... But That Doesn't Mean Its Stock Is a Buy Today

By Joel Litman

Friday, July 10, 2020

The ‘impossible trinity’ is one of the widely held beliefs in macroeconomic theory… Also known as the “trilemma,” the logic is that an economy can’t have all three of the following:  A fixed foreign exchange rate Free capital movement Independent monetary policy If you want two of these, you need to give up on the […]

Here's the Secret for Finding the Biggest Upside in Stocks

By Joel Litman

Thursday, July 9, 2020

Even the largest businesses start small… Excluding banks and insurance firms, more than 100 companies in the U.S. have a market cap greater than $50 billion. These mega-cap names are world-beating businesses that dominate their industries. Some investors talk about how “network effects” and “scale” mean these companies are unstoppable, and they pile into the […]

A $10 Billion Health Care Firm Proves It's Possible to Save Lives and Make a Profit

By Rob Spivey

Wednesday, July 8, 2020

Bloomberg appears to have missed the forest focusing on the trees when talking about the pandemic debt risks… Last week, a Bloomberg editorial examined whether the pandemic could also lead to a financial crisis. Regular Altimetry Daily Authority readers know that we’ve explained multiple reasons why the risks of the pandemic turning into a debt […]

A Video-Game Maker Offers a Glaring Warning for This Oilfield-Services Giant

By Joel Litman

Tuesday, July 7, 2020

A week ago, we received a great question in one of our classes… We were teaching a remote class at Hult International Business School the weekend before the Independence Day holiday. One of the students asked a question that I thought particularly relevant for the current market context, with big swings happening almost every day. […]

A Lesson From an Investing Legend Tells Us Why One Headline Could Send the Markets Tumbling

By Rob Spivey

Monday, July 6, 2020

Sometimes, it’s good to put things in perspective… When I was growing up, one of the things I most enjoyed doing was collecting and looking at maps. It wasn’t just about knowing where my family was heading on vacations… it was about understanding the scale of the world.  When you dive into geography, the most […]

This Discount Retailer Is in Trouble Until It's Back to Business as Usual

By Joel Litman

Thursday, July 2, 2020

Joel’s note: The Altimetry offices are closed tomorrow in observance of Independence Day, so look for the next Altimetry Daily Authority on Monday, July 6. I hope everyone has a safe and enjoyable holiday! The ‘At-Home Revolution’ is the only thing that’s stopping Coke’s dominance…  For years, authorities across the globe have been focusing on […]

Here's the Business With the Next Apple Watch... But Investors Think It's the Next Google Glass

By Joel Litman

Wednesday, July 1, 2020

During a recession, there’s a reason governments tend to send stimulus to those with lower incomes…  Not only are these folks more likely to struggle during an economic downturn, but any benefits sent their way are also likely to have a stronger “multiplier effect” in the economy. This means that for $1 sent to a […]

The 'Paradox of Choice' Means Collapsing Returns for This Money Manager

By Joel Litman

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

In essence, the economy is the sum of an entire nation’s profits… People often think of “profits” as just something that corporations report. But in reality, these come from across the whole economy. Corporate profits are the revenues companies generate less costs. Consumer profits are the revenues that folks take in less taxes and savings. […]

'Embedded Expectations' Are Flashing a Warning Sign for the Market

By Rob Spivey

Monday, June 29, 2020

We’ve talked regularly about the coming ‘Big Bath’ in earnings, now let’s talk about what to do about it… Late last month, we highlighted in the Daily Authority (and in Forbes) that second-quarter earnings are going to be ugly due to the earnings “Big Bath.” We also noted that the market is not pricing in […]

Private Equity Doesn't Just Want to Own Your Company... It Wants Your Retirement

By Joel Litman

Friday, June 26, 2020

401(k) assets in the U.S. are an estimated $6.2 trillion… This is a massive market, but these accounts generally have very specific rules on what assets they’re able to invest in. And in a potentially important shake-up, the U.S. Labor Department just added another asset class to that list: private equity. Some people might be […]