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Economists Are Worried About an Economic Disaster After the Coronavirus Pandemic... But We're Not

Here's what the alphabet has to do with economic recovery... Earlier this month, financial-services company Northern Trust put together a piece about the shape of the recovery after the coronavirus pandemic. Over the past few months, experts have debated how a recovery will play out in the U.S. Some believe that due to government relief […]

It's a David Versus Goliath Market Struggle... And This Tech Firm Is Poised to Win

It's your final opportunity to explore the 'Challenger Deep' with us... In 1960, a deep-diving submarine made the first manned journey to explore the depths of the Challenger Deep – the deepest section of the world's oceans, at the bottom of the Mariana Trench. Explorers had been plotting the sea floor for the past century […]

Securities Analyzed
  • AYX
  • CRM
  • MSFT
  • ORCL
  • WORK
  • ZM
The Market Has Mistakenly Overvalued This Moneymaking Cable Provider

Even one of the most well respected firms on Wall Street can't dodge the 'At-Home Revolution'... As we discussed last month, the commercial real estate ("CRE") market is one of the prime targets for disruption by the massive societal shift we're seeing in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic. Many people are realizing that working […]

Securities Analyzed
  • AAPL
  • AMZN
  • BX
  • CHTR
  • CMCSA
Don't Bet Against This Champion of the Franchising Model

One of my mentors just published a new book focused on the corporate lifecycle... My team and I call him the godfather of adjusted accounting analytics, and it's not said tongue-in-cheek. Bart Madden developed the CFROI framework. It's one of the first methods to focus on something equivalent to what my team and I have […]

Securities Analyzed
  • DNKN
  • MAR
  • MCD
Due to Investor Fear of a Boom-and-Bust Sector, This High-Return Firm Is Massively Mispriced

During an economic crisis, there's a sneaky way your portfolio could be crippled... In late June, UC Berkeley hosted its annual "Fraud Fest" – completely online for the first time. This year, the 200 panelists had a lot to talk about... As one said, "the pandemic is the perfect storm for fraud." Due to the […]

Securities Analyzed
  • AAPL
  • MSFT
  • SUPN
A Key Economic Measure Is Flashing 'Red'... Here's Why It's Different This Time

The 'at-home economy' claimed another victim this month, as workers adopt their 'Zoom shirts'...  The retailer that claimed to "dress the president" since Abraham Lincoln was yet another company to fall to the "At-Home Revolution."  Earlier this month, Brooks Brothers filed for bankruptcy. It couldn't survive the lockdowns that closed its stores, nor the lack […]

Here's the Key Tenet for Successful Corporate Value Creation

This past weekend, we taught a course on corporate strategy... And once again, as usual, we learned something new. The class, which we call "Return Driven Strategy" ("RDS"), is focused on understanding the key tenets of a successful long-term value-creating corporate strategy. Uniform Accounting is essential to identifying "RDS companies," as we call them. These […]

Securities Analyzed
  • AAPL
  • DELL
  • JBL
  • TCEHY
To Find Fraud, Focus on the People, Not the Numbers

In late 2010, one of our largest clients called us in a panic... One of its biggest holdings, coffee maker Green Mountain Coffee, had just received a data request from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") stating it was launching a formal investigation into the company's accounting.  Our client needed to know what to […]

Securities Analyzed
  • PG
A Bet on Pets Is Paying Off for a Popular Snack Maker

One index's 'reconstitution' can often be a microcap kingmaker... Each year, the major stock indexes – from the S&P 500, to the Nasdaq 100, to offerings providers like MSCI – are all "reconstituted." This is a process when new members are added, and companies that no longer fit the index's criteria are removed. It might […]

Securities Analyzed
  • AAPL
  • AMZN
  • GIS
  • LLY
  • LMST
  • MSFT
The Market Misunderstands This Food Conglomerate... and That Means Investors Are Overpaying for It

The 'At-Home Revolution' has meant more toys... and not just for kids. In early June, I wrote in Forbes that reduced travel due to the coronavirus pandemic has had trickledown effects. One big beneficiary has been golf and golf equipment. Wealthy people who would normally be vacationing in Europe, the Caribbean, or elsewhere are trapped […]

Securities Analyzed
  • GE
  • KO
  • PEP